{"id":1172,"date":"2023-05-29T08:43:48","date_gmt":"2023-05-29T12:43:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/?p=1172"},"modified":"2023-05-29T17:09:10","modified_gmt":"2023-05-29T21:09:10","slug":"where-is-the-dow-jones-industrial-average-headed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/where-is-the-dow-jones-industrial-average-headed\/","title":{"rendered":"Where is the Dow Jones Industrial Average Headed?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Two Major Determinators for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Price Fluctuations<\/h2>\n<hr>\n<p><b><i>1) Dow Jones Industrial Average versus Inflation<\/i><\/b><br \/>\nIn the old days some people believed the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the long term is directly related to the USA inflation rate and the DJIA would return 1 to 2 percent above the average rate of inflation over the long term.<br \/>\n<b>Let&#8217;s take a look at the United States Inflation Rate versus the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Price.<\/b><br \/>\n<i><b>The Dow Jones Industrial Average<\/b>:<\/i><br \/>\nThe DJIA in May 26, 2023 was 33,093.34<br \/>\nThe DJIA in December 30, 1960 was 615.89<br \/>\nOver that 63 year period the DJIA rose 32,477.45 That is a 515.52 point average yearly increase of 6,470.0 % or a 8.3% yearly average increase.<br \/>\nNOTE: About 66% of the increase has happened since 2009 low, of 6,547.05, or over the last 24 years of heavy dollar printing or massive FED quantitative Currency Injections.<br \/>\n<i><b>The USA Inflation Rate<\/b>:<\/i><br \/>\nDuring the observation period from 1960 into 2023 the average inflation rate was 3.8% per year. Overall, the price increase was 903.96%. An item that cost 100 dollars in 1960 costs 1,003.96 dollars at the beginning of 2023.<\/p>\n<p><b>What do the above numbers mean for DJIA and inflation; three possible scenario&#8217;s may play out<\/b>: 1) much more inflation is required to support the current Dow Jones Industrial Average OR 2) the Dow Jones Industrial Average needs to drop considerably or 3) a combination of the two.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1213\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1213\" data-attachment-id=\"1213\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/where-is-the-dow-jones-industrial-average-headed\/dow-inflation-adjusted-closing-prices\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dow-Inflation-Adjusted-Closing-Prices.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"735,537\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Dow Inflation Adjusted Closing Prices\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;DJIA and Inflation Chart&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dow-Inflation-Adjusted-Closing-Prices-300x219.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dow-Inflation-Adjusted-Closing-Prices.jpg\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1213\" src=\"http:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Dow-Inflation-Adjusted-Closing-Prices.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"537\"><p id=\"caption-attachment-1213\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">DJIA and Inflation Chart<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Inflation Adjusted Dow Jones Industrial Average Charts <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aboutinflation.com\/Dow-Jones-vs-Inflation\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a>.<br \/>\nMore about the Dow Jones Industrial Average and how it relates to inflation and other measures <a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrotrends.net\/1319\/dow-jones-100-year-historical-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b><i>2) The Dow Jones Average Portfolio Index Company Stock Replacements and Additions<\/i><\/b><br \/>\nI look at the Dow Jones Average as more of a Team Index than a Solid Index. What&#8217;s the difference; a solid index is an index that the components do not change unless the index is forced to change due to strictly outside forces, a team index is much like a baseball team where the players or company stocks change out. Where the Dow Indexes are concerned the components or stocks may and will change out at the will of the index management or by the indexes&#8217; own rules or definitions.<br \/>\n<b>For example the DJIA covers 30 &#8216;large cap companies&#8221;<\/b>, which are subject to a criteria and picked by the editors of The Wall Street Journal.<br \/>\nOver the years the companies in the index have been changed to ensure the index stays relatively current in its measure of the U.S. economy.<br \/>\n<b>Charles Dow first published the Dow Jones Industrial Average on May 26, 1896<\/b>. On this day, the Dow consisted of only 12 companies. Of special note; only one of the initial companies included in the average remain &#8211; yes, you read that correctly. Currently, General Electric holds the longest listed Dow Jones Industrial Average Index \/ DJIA Company.<br \/>\nOne can easily see that if the original 12 companies were still in the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index \/ DJIA today the index would be worth practically zero!!!<br \/>\nThe original Dow Jones Industrial Average Index 12 companies:<br \/>\nAmerican Cotton Oil<br \/>\nAmerican Sugar<br \/>\nAmerican Tobacco<br \/>\nChicago Gas<br \/>\nDistilling &amp; Cattle Feeding<br \/>\nGeneral Electric<br \/>\nLaclede Gas<br \/>\nNational Lead<br \/>\nNorth American<br \/>\nTennessee Coal and Iron<br \/>\nU.S. Leather<br \/>\nU.S. Rubber<br \/>\nTherefore; changing out the companies does have a direct reflect on the Dow Jones Industrial Average price.<br \/>\nThis is why a person who trades Dow Jones Industrial Average 30 as a group may need to be aware of the above company stock change outs or added companies to the Dow Jones Industrial Average.<br \/>\n<b>NOTE: On August 24, 2020, three companies were replaced on the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index<\/b> \/ DJIA, the companies Salesforce, Amgen and Honeywell were added to the Dow, replacing Exxon-Mobil, Pfizer, and Raytheon Technologies.<br \/>\n2020 Companies in the Dow<br \/>\nBelow is a list of the companies included in the Dow as of September 2020.<br \/>\nSalesforce<br \/>\nProcter &amp; Gamble<br \/>\nDowDuPont<br \/>\nAmgen<br \/>\n3M<br \/>\nIBM<br \/>\nMerck<br \/>\nAmerican Express<br \/>\nMcDonald&#8217;s<br \/>\nBoeing<br \/>\nCoca-Cola<br \/>\nCaterpillar<br \/>\nJPMorgan Chase<br \/>\nWalt Disney<br \/>\nJohnson &amp; Johnson<br \/>\nWalmart<br \/>\nHome Depot<br \/>\nIntel<br \/>\nMicrosoft<br \/>\nHoneywell<br \/>\nVerizon<br \/>\nChevron<br \/>\nCisco Systems<br \/>\nTravelers Cos.<br \/>\nUnitedHealth Group<br \/>\nGoldman Sachs<br \/>\nNike<br \/>\nVisa<br \/>\nApple<br \/>\nWalgreens Boots Alliance<\/p>\n<p>More about the DOW <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/ask\/answers\/100214\/who-were-original-dow-jones-industrial-average-djia-companies.asp#:~:text=The%20Dow%20Jones%20Industrial%20Average,and%20Iron%2C%20U.S.%20Leather%2C%20and\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>I hope the above information was of interest to you.<\/p>\n<p>Anthony at TradeCurrencyNow,<br \/>\nAmerica&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tradecurrencynow.com\/news\/forexnewsinformationsignals.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forex News and Currency Information Source<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><b>The above information is opinion based except where noted. This web page and website information is NOT trading advice. Always contact a licensed professional for information on the above subject or BEFORE applying or practicing the above information.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two Major Determinators for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Price Fluctuations 1) Dow Jones Industrial Average versus Inflation In the old days some people believed the Dow Jones Industrial Average over the long term is directly related to the USA inflation rate and the DJIA would return 1 to 2 percent above the average rate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-question-and-answer-forex-currency-trading-forum-blog-for-traders-who-trade-the-forex-market","entry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8riK9-iU","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1172","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1172"}],"version-history":[{"count":40,"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1172\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1245,"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1172\/revisions\/1245"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradecurrencynow.com\/forex-trading-help-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}